Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1.893638 2.191611 2.519194 2.905785 3.349295 3.841953 4.430497
2025-03-09 1.461398 1.846148 2.305292 2.892619 3.623020 4.500530 5.633973
2025-03-16 1.131100 1.544067 2.073863 2.801246 3.771787 5.019879 6.744469
2025-03-23 0.977356 1.429448 2.047862 2.951642 4.234461 5.985178 8.550579
2025-03-30 0.841596 1.310807 1.991194 3.043442 4.622637 6.895985 10.406895
2025-04-06 0.713600 1.178080 1.888861 3.046845 4.875778 7.639991 12.117849
2025-04-13 0.578256 1.008727 1.701805 2.887627 4.852355 7.959917 13.222937
2025-04-20 0.518076 0.949944 1.677899 2.979504 5.230620 8.938745 15.472789
2025-04-27 0.477560 0.917156 1.690301 3.130169 5.720813 10.150400 18.244337
2025-05-04 0.430907 0.865055 1.660232 3.199694 6.075458 11.169287 20.801733
2025-05-11 0.386239 0.808970 1.613819 3.230653 6.360561 12.093134 23.290668
2025-05-18 0.334076 0.729446 1.511301 3.139667 6.403293 12.578233 25.025069
2025-05-25 0.281626 0.642121 1.383631 2.986774 6.317145 12.832828 26.397776
2025-06-01 0.252716 0.600092 1.341449 3.001219 6.566378 13.761785 29.197611
2025-06-08 0.219881 0.543743 1.260784 2.922838 6.613194 14.294069 31.266314
2025-06-15 0.210031 0.538736 1.290963 3.089797 7.204186 16.006392 35.976772
2025-06-22 0.196309 0.522107 1.292435 3.192070 7.665762 17.498546 40.391832
2025-06-29 0.178011 0.490942 1.255426 3.199424 7.912723 18.553917 43.973834
2025-07-06 0.152240 0.435959 1.152896 3.034665 7.735790 18.646162 45.404589
2025-07-13 0.143389 0.424536 1.156538 3.132372 8.200510 20.251317 50.498203
2025-07-20 0.138130 0.422133 1.182845 3.291309 8.836242 22.325752 56.929298
2025-07-27 0.129364 0.408214 1.176815 3.364787 9.264959 23.951982 62.459042
2025-08-03 0.119744 0.390090 1.156722 3.397590 9.592143 25.365315 67.619707